*cost of living adjustment

 

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Most everyone moving from the north to Knoxville, TN, will see their cost of living drop dramatically.  Homes at Tennessee National, about 20 minutes outside the city, are at the high end in the area but nothing like high end homes in the New York City area.

    I carry on in this space a lot about the widening spread between home prices in northern metro areas and those in many southern areas.  You know the line of reasoning:  If your home in Syosset is losing, say, 4% of its market value every year and that place you've been eyeing in Asheville is appreciating about 8% a year, then if the trend continues over the next few years, you lose big.
    But there is another equally compelling financial reason to consider taking what the market offers for your

Cost of living in Greenwich, CT, is 284 percentage points above the national average; Knoxville is 20 points below.

primary house and head south - cost of living differences.  Information from the statistics happy web site BestPlaces.net provides dramatic testimony to how much can be saved by moving.
    BestPlaces folds costs for housing, food, transportation, utilities and healthcare into its calculation of overall cost of living, and pegs its national average at 100 for comparison's sake.  Although differences in housing are profound north to south, the other factors weigh heavily in the differences.  For example, the overall cost of living in Boston is pegged at 128, or 28% above the national average.  Knoxville, TN, is a mere 80 on the cost of living scale; and, as we might expect, housing in Boston is substantially higher, at 48% above national average, whereas Knoxville is 56% below.  But a scan of all the other categories shows Boston above the national average across the board and Knoxville below it across every single category.  For example, the spread between healthcare costs in the two metro areas is 41 percentage points (Boston = 130, Knoxville = 89).
    The BestPlaces data, which is compiled from a number of official sources, isn't always up to date, but it is a helpful way to personalize the data to individual situations.  For example, a couple expecting to use the healthcare system more than others can assess the comparative costs, which can vary significantly even inside one particular state.   In St. Augustine, FL, for example, health care costs are just below national average at 97%, but Ft. Lauderdale checks in at 117%.  Twenty percentage points may not seem like a big deal, all other things being equal, but if you are going to be a big user of health facilities, it adds up.
    Low cost of living areas that stick out from a sample list include Augusta, GA (78%), Savannah (89), Panama City, FL (86), Charlotte, NC (91), Greenville, SC (81), Biloxi/Gulfport, MS (85) and Aiken, SC (90).
    If you want to noodle around with the numbers, visit BestPlaces.net.   If you want information on any golf communities in the areas of your interest, let me know and I will be happy to help.
    One final note:  If you live in Greenwich, CT, please call me.  Your overall cost of living is a whopping 284 points above the national average.  I think we can do better than that.

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The sweet spot for home prices in Aiken's Cedar Creek Plantation is under $400,000.  The Arthur Hills golf course gets a lot of play but is a bargain for members.


    You wouldn't know a housing crisis is upon us or a recession looms by the crowds at the Live South real estate show yesterday in Greenwich, CT. Exhibitors representing more than 70 residential communities in the south didn't have much downtime during the two hours I spent at the show early in the afternoon.
    Live South is a great way to collect a lot of brochures and information about specific communities but, like most "bazaars," everyone thinks their product is the best.  Until you visit, you won't know how the golf course plays, the proximity of the houses to each other and many of the other nuanced information brochures can't tell you.  If you are interested in visiting any communities in the south, please let me know and I will be happy to put you in touch with a real estate agent in the area of your choice who can help you understand what the brochures and salespeople don't tell you.  There is no cost or obligation.    

    Here are a few observations from my visit to the Live South show yesterday:

  • I asked some of the exhibitors how property sales were going. The consistent response was that although transactions had slowed a little, prices were holding up well. This is supported by independent data that shows prices in such markets as Wilmington and Asheville, NC rose around double-digit percentages last year.
  • The migration from Florida to the Carolinas continues. Thompson Grove, an articulate young man at The Preserve at Wolf Laurel booth, told me most of that community's sales in recent months have been to Floridians. "They are tired of the summer heat," he said, adding that most of them are opting to live year round in his community, even though there isn't too much to do on the 4,000-foot mountain in the winter. They must really be tired of the heat.
  • Despite the challenges and expenses of golf course operation, communities in the south are not shying away from building new layouts. River Landing in Wallace, NC, midway between Raleigh and Wilmington, added another nine since my visit a couple of years ago, bringing their total to 36 holes. And the Rarity communities, strung along the huge Tellico Lake in Tennessee, have opened a Bob Cupp course at Rarity Pointe with water views and a decidedly more challenging layout than their original course at Rarity Bay, which was fun when I played it but way too easy. "We think the new course will challenge the Honors Course in terms of quality," said Rarity consultant John Haney. The Honors course, near Chattanooga, is typically ranked in the top 50 courses in the country. Perhaps a little sales hyperbole there, but the photos of the Rarity course looked nice.
  • At times during my stroll through the exhibits, I felt as if I was in a bazaar in Marrakesh. Maybe it was competition among the exhibitors or, perhaps, self-consciousness that they had made an investment in the booth and had better engage customers to pay it off. But I thought the show exhibitors were a tad more aggressive this year than typical, although never anything but friendly. I tried to avert my eyes from a few non-golf communities as I strolled down the aisles of the show, but they stepped so close to me that I could not ignore their entreaties to stop and talk. It was friendly but definitely a change from my experience at past shows.
  • As always, Myrtle Beach was the best represented area at the show, with 20 Grand Strand communities participating. But the best representation per capita (or per golf course) was probably Aiken, SC, which is just across the border from Augusta, GA. Representatives from four Aiken area communities - Woodside, Pine Ridge, Cedar Creek and Mount Vintage - parried many questions from show goers looking for a nice lifestyle at reasonable costs. Aiken is one of those in-between areas - neither coastal nor mountain - and home prices reflect it. People looking for an amply sized single-family home in a nice community won't pay more than $400,000 for one in Pine Ridge or Cedar Creek, and they could pay a lot less if they want. These communities are good options if you are willing to share your golf course with daily fee players. Woodside and Mount Vintage, more upscale communities, feature sleek private courses by name designers, and their higher price points reflect that, although Woodside has taken some hits in the past for inconsistent maintenance of its three golf courses.
    Residents of Northern New Jersey, Detroit and Boston will have an opportunity to visit a Live South show over the next few weeks.  The schedule is:  Parsippany (NJ) Hilton February 22-24; Troy (MI) Marriott February 29-March 2; and Burlington (MA) Marriott March 7-9.  Visit LiveSouthShows.com for more information, including how to secure free tickets.