Real estate voyeur that I am, I was excited to see lists of top selling agents and teams for 2006 in an advertising section of today's Wall Street Journal (along with half-page pats on the back from their national agencies extolling their hard work and successes).  As you might expect, the big cities with expensive real estate - like New York and Chicago - lead the lists in terms of dollar volume by teams and agents.  For example, I. Dolly Lenz in New York generated almost $750 million.  Sweet!
    I was more interested in activity per market since that implies some vibrancy.  Even as inventory levels rise, still a large number of sales indicate people are interested in living (or investing) in a particular area.
    Some curiosities emerge from the lists.  Two of the top five agents by "sides," which is the total of listings and sales, are in Coeur d'Alene, ID, site of the famous floating putting green at the Coeur d'Alene Resort.  Coeur d'Alene isn't the easiest place to get to, but the scenery must be worth the effort to get there.  The team that generated the most sides nationally is located in Rainbow City, AL, a town I was unfamiliar with.  It is a suburb of Gadsden which itself is something of a suburb of Birmingham, which seemed like an odd place to generate the most business transactions in the nation.  It turns out the agency, RealtyBids, runs an online auction site that deals primarily in foreclosure properties.  They are simply headquartered in Rainbow City, and their 1,603 sides for 2006 came from all over the nation.
    "All I am doing is just cleaning up the mess," said the company's CEO with only a passing reference of self-consciousness about capitalizing on the bad luck and bad loans of folks losing their homes.
    The 5th highest selling agent nationally was responsible for $157 million in sales in Avon, CO, in the mountains west of Vail and north of Aspen, which says something about the strength
Two real estate teams in Raleigh totaled $266 million in volume.

of the second-home market there; there isn't much industry beyond skiing in the area.  Jackson, WY, had the 11th largest volume producer and Aspen the 14th.
    We were impressed with the action in Raleigh, NC, which is on our list for a visit soon.  Re/Max teams in the area did well in 2006, with one racking up $137 million in sales and another $129 million.   Between them they generated more than 1,000 transaction sides, with a team from local competitor Prudential adding another 414.  With the famed Research Triangle Park complex near town, Raleigh is blessed with a consistent stream of business transfers into and out of the area.  Such a large and stable business presence has helped Raleigh (so far) to skate past the housing downturn nationally and have kept prices stable; indeed, the average selling price of homes in the Raleigh area rose 6% in September, compared with September 2006, to $243,000.  
    However, trouble signs may be brewing.  Sales of existing homes in the area dropped 24% in September year over year, or 750 fewer homes, and most of the homes sold during the month were at the lower end of the market, implying a growing number of foreclosures.  When greed mongers like Countrywide Financial and other junk loan providers sneeze, even healthy places like Raleigh catch a cold.

    Does the following report sound familiar?
    "Slower home sales have driven residential developers to sell the amenities they once counted on to hasten land sales and raise prices - their golf courses."
    That is the lead sentence in a New York Times article...from March 15, 1992.  It could as easily be in today's paper.   Golf courses and, indeed, entire golf course developments are coming on the market, being sold, and then being replaced by more courses for sale.  This is not surprising given the slowdown in the purchase of club memberships and golf community homes as potential buyers find it harder and harder to sell their primary houses.  You may recall that the early ‘90s was the last big housing recession in the U.S., and history is repeating itself today (with the extra trickle-down effects of the "sub-prime lending" mess).
    That 15-year-old article was authored by Lyn Riddle, who also wrote that, "Many of the distressed golf-course developments are in the South, particularly in Florida and in the Carolinas, where nearly three-fourths of all golf courses built in the last few years were conceived as fixtures for housing developments."  That seems to be the case today based on a scan of courses listed by a few national brokerages and consolidators.
    One  of them, Prime Sites USA , which lists all sort of businesses for sale online, includes 10 courses at its web site, five of which recently sold.  Six of the 10 are in Florida, including a resort in the Florida Panhandle listed for $12 million, the highest asking price of Prime Sites' listings.
    Coldwell Banker's National Golf Course Sales organization provides a far longer list at its site.  We counted 56 courses for sale or under contract, but according to Kathy Bissell, VP-National Golf Sales, as many as 200 are for sale at any given time.
    "We have a listing for a nine-hole course for a half million dollars," says Ms. Bissell, and others that range well up into the million.  There is a wide range of properties in between, including a central Illinois course for less than $600,000 and another near Raleigh/Durham, NC for around $700,000.  These are prices one might expect for a nice home on a golf course, not the golf course itself.
    Not every decision to sell a course is strictly financial.  "Some are family owned," says Ms. Bissell, "and the owners are just tired of running the course.  In other cases, the course is one of many owned by a company and they are just trying to peel off some of their assets."
    The reasons people buy courses are equally varied, according to Ms. Bissell.  Some people just want to run a golf course and figure they are going to do it better than the people selling it to them.  In many cases, these tenderfoots are not prepared for how difficult and complicated golf course operation is, and they wind up selling out in a few years.  Others are all about business, like the southern Mississippi group that recently sold a nine-hole course, plus a few attached residential lots, for just under $1 million.
    "The group had bought it after [Hurricane] Katrina," she says, "fixed it up over a couple of years and then sold it."  She doesn't know what they paid for it originally, but "it must have been very low if they sold it for less than a million."
    An investment in a golf course is risky business, especially if the buyer's intention is to plow it over and build housing.   Major builder D.R. Horton, which ought to know better, bought the Bay Meadows course near Jacksonville with that intention, and with a nod and a wink from town planners, that they could build homes where fairways and greens once stood.  Horton paid more than $3 million for the course, made their application for rezoning and then watched their investment go to pieces when local townspeople rose up as if a Walmart were coming, complaining that an already bad traffic situation on the local highways would be much worse with the increased population.  The local mayor, taking the temperature of his constituents, nixed the deal, a $3 million lesson for Horton.
    You would think that the weakness of the dollar would be driving offshore investment in U.S. golf courses, and Ms. Bissell says she is seeing some of that, with recent inquiries from South Africa, the United Kingdom and Asia.  Foreign laws are also contributing to added interest in U.S. golf courses.
    "Korean laws," Ms. Bissell says, for example, "put a cap on the amount its citizens can invest in their own country.  Many are turning to the U.S. and our golf courses."
    We noted what seemed like a disproportionate number of Florida courses for sale, mindful that there are a disproportionate number of Florida courses to begin with.  According to Ms. Bissell, more courses in the Midwest seem to be on the market currently.
    "There was a lot of action [a few years ago] in North Carolina," she adds, "but that seems to have died down."
    Hedge Fund Millionaires Alert:  If you are not content with owning that nine-holer in East Jabip, Coldwell Banker will be happy to set you up with a pair of courses currently on the market in Nevada.  Asking price is $20 million, but we bet they'll take $19 million.